23rd January 2015

I had a lovely lazy morning in bed this morning, with good coffee, french patisseries and the Sunday papers.  Bliss.

If only it were like this every morning.  Unfortunately lazy mornings, while restorative, do not pay the bills.

Sadly the world news is as frightening as ever.

There have now been 100,000 Ebola cases since the crisis began in December 2013.  That is a lot of very sick people.  And I bet that isn’t all of them.  At least the 1.4 million that the W.H.O predicted haven’t come to fruition.  Yet.

Nice to see the media taking a pot shot at them.

NOT!

I really do feel for organisations like WHO.  They provide a global service, are not funded or resourced properly, they have to model scenarios based on what ever data they have at the time, and if they predict too high numbers, they are criticised for creating hysteria and when they predict numbers too low they’re criticised for not ensuring greater urgency.

I just hope the world is not being lulled into a false sense of security, like they did in November when the numbers dropped and international aid workers moved on to other parts of the world.  I would hate to see people get complacent, and take short cuts.  Because short cuts mean mistakes.

I wonder what other instances of complacency there are in history? And how they changed the course of the world?

4th January 2015

I’ve been doing some research into Ebola.

And what I’ve read has made me anxious.  This virus is nasty.  Nasty and virulent.

In the initial reports of the virus the numbers were low, only 86 reported cases and 59 dead when it broke out back in March.

By early November there were 13,000 cases and half of those dead.

Half!

From what I have been reading that is not the worst of it.

“WHO scientists are now reporting they believe there are 20,000 new cases each week.  Which is, as many cases in January as have been reported during the entire outbreak in 2014.  All due to the exponential growth of the virus.”

In previous outbreaks they have managed to contain cases of Ebola due to the isolated nature of where it was making transmission between people low.

This time its different.

This time it has broken through the isolation barriers into the general population.  Which means it can go anywhere. The world is so much more global now and travel so accessible.

I need to do some more reading.

I am worried.

Really worried.